A pediatrician friend of mine pointed out this bit of news in Pediatrics on the January 2008 outbreak of measles in San Diego:
The outbreak began in January 2008 when a 7-year-old boy whose parents refused to vaccinate him returned to the U.S. from Switzerland. Before symptoms appeared, he infected his 3-year-old brother and 9-year-old sister. Neither was vaccinated.
Neither were 11% of the boy’s classmates, whose parents shared similar beliefs that a healthy lifestyle protected against disease while vaccines were riskier than the illnesses they prevented.
In the end, 839 people were exposed to measles. Eleven were infected, and 48 exposed kids too young to be vaccinated were quarantined — forbidden to leave their homes — for 21 days. Jane Seward, MBBS, MPH, was the CDC’s senior investigator for the outbreak.
Despite the extraordinary efforts of health workers, what really ended the San Diego outbreak wasn’t quarantine or post-exposure vaccination. It was the high vaccination rate in the rest of the community that kept the outbreak from becoming an epidemic.
This is the summary of the study:
The importation resulted in 839 exposed persons, 11 additional cases (all in unvaccinated children), and the hospitalization of an infant too young to be vaccinated. Two-dose vaccination coverage of 95%, absence of vaccine failure, and a vigorous outbreak response halted spread beyond the third generation, at a net public-sector cost of $10376 per case. Although 75% of the cases were of persons who were intentionally unvaccinated, 48 children too young to be vaccinated were quarantined, at an average family cost of $775 per child. Substantial rates of intentional undervaccination occurred in public charter and private schools, as well as public schools in upper-socioeconomic areas. Vaccine refusal clustered geographically and the overall rate seemed to be rising. In discussion groups and survey responses, the majority of parents who declined vaccination for their children were concerned with vaccine adverse events.
CONCLUSIONS Despite high community vaccination coverage, measles outbreaks can occur among clusters of intentionally undervaccinated children, at major cost to public health agencies, medical systems, and families. Rising rates of intentional undervaccination can undermine measles elimination.
The medical and public health community needs to really get going on this. The article ends by saying the researchers met parents with “real fears” about the risk of autism from vaccines. I’m sure their fears are real, but how on earth do you convince them otherwise?
2 thoughts on “The 2008 measles outbreak in San Diego”
One of these parents with “real fears” is a friend my parents. Luckily for her kids (my age), this is a recent discovery for her. However, she’s concerned that when her now-engaged daughter starts having children, she won’t be able to prevent her grandkids from being vaccinated as her daughter doesn’t share her views.
I held it together pretty well throughout a conversation with her last summer, but was a little taken aback when she tried to convince me that HIV could be cured by a healthy diet that would boost your immune system. I really don’t know how to convince her otherwise… and HIV research is what I do! At some point scientific facts (and even economic facts) aren’t enough and you need to counter with arguments that have the same emotional tenor as the ones they believe.
You know what I think about this. The problem is the special and undeserved respect that we grant to superstition, woo, pseudoscience, personal beliefs, and religion. There is no way to fight any particular branch of woo as long as we have invested all our lives in “respecting” woo in general and getting people used to “Well, this is true for me” or “I feel it in my heart” as being more important than facts, objectivity, reason, logic, and data.